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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global

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Logo of telegram channel cig_telegram — /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
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/CIG/ presents viewers a controversial blend of ultraright genopolitics with geopolitics. This includes an exposé on current news, history and social matters along with the public enlightenment gained from völkisch aesthetics.
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The latest Messages 19

2023-04-24 18:04:51
Biden’s team fears the aftermath of a failed Ukrainian counteroffensive Those concerns recently spilled out into the open during a leak of classified information onto social media. A top secret assessment from early February stated that Ukraine would…
2.6K viewsFRANCISCVS, 15:04
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2023-04-24 17:59:02 Biden’s team fears the aftermath of a failed Ukrainian counteroffensive

Those concerns recently spilled out into the open during a leak of classified information onto social media. A top secret assessment from early February stated that Ukraine would fall “well short” of its counteroffensive goals. More current American assessments are that Ukraine may make some progress in the south and east, but won’t be able to repeat last year’s success.

Ukraine has hoped to sever Russia’s land bridge to Crimea and U.S. officials are now skeptical that will happen, according to two administration officials familiar with the assessment. But there are still hopes in the Pentagon that Ukraine will hamper Russia’s supply lines there, even if a total victory over Russia’s newly fortified troops ends up too difficult to achieve.

Moreover, U.S. intelligence indicates that Ukraine simply does not have the ability to push Russian troops from where they were deeply entrenched — and a similar feeling has taken hold about the battlefield elsewhere in Ukraine, according to officials. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says the U.S. hasn’t adequately armed his forces properly and so, until then, the counteroffensive can’t begin.

A counteroffensive that doesn’t meet expectations will also cause allies in foreign capitals to question how much more they can spare if Kyiv’s victory looks farther and farther away.

“European public support may wane over time as European energy and economic costs stay high,” said Clementine Starling, a director and fellow at the Atlantic Council think tank in Washington, D.C. “A fracturing of transatlantic support will likely hurt U.S. domestic support and Congress and the Biden administration may struggle to sustain it.”

“If Ukraine can’t gain dramatically on the battlefield, the question inevitably arises as to whether it is time for a negotiated stop to the fighting,” said Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations. “It’s expensive, we’re running low on munitions, we’ve got other contingencies around the world to prepare for.”

The fighting has taken a toll on the Ukrainians as well. Fourteen months into the conflict, the Ukrainians have suffered staggering losses — around 100,000 dead — with many of their top soldiers either sidelined or exhausted. The troops have also gone through historic amounts of ammunition and weaponry, with even the West’s prodigious output unable to match Zelenskyy’s urgent requests.

U.S. officials have also briefed Ukraine on the dangers of overextending its ambitions and spreading its troops too thin — the same warning Biden gave then-Afghan President Ashraf Ghani as the Taliban moved to sweep across the country during the U.S. military withdrawal in 2021.

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/04/24/biden-ukraine-russia-counteroffensive-defense-00093384
5.7K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:59
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2023-04-24 17:36:01 The EU is preparing to sanction a number of pro-Russian Moldovan politicians and businessmen. Announcement to come in the following days.

@Wallachian_Gazette
2.5K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:36
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2023-04-24 17:35:07 U.S. Embassy Statement on Milorad Dodik’s Secessionist Threats

The United States, as it has for almost 30 years, will act to protect Bosnia and Herzegovina’s territorial integrity, sovereignty, and multi-ethnic character.t

There is no right under Bosnia and Herzegovina’s constitution for an entity or any other sub-state unit to secede, and the United States will not remain idle if Milorad Dodik acts to spark another conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

https://ba.usembassy.gov/u-s-embassy-statement-on-milorad-dodiks-secessionist-threats/
8.4K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:35
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2023-04-24 17:35:07 — Milorad Dodik: “We want to say clearly that it’s no threat to anyone if RS expresses its will, the popular will, to form its own country, because we cannot live in Bosnia-Herzegovina, which strangles us and threatens our freedoms.”
1.7K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:35
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2023-04-24 17:35:07 — Milorad Dodik, president of Republika Srpska: “Our people here must proclaim the idea we have, to proclaim Stpsma a country and unite it with Serbia. We are not making a country on someone else’s territory. This is our country, our property, our freedom”
1.6K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:35
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2023-04-24 17:29:03 Chinese ambassador sparks European outrage over suggestion former Soviet states don't exist

Lu made the remarks in response to a question whether Crimea, which was illegally annexed by Russia in 2014, was part of Ukraine.

"Even these ex-Soviet countries don't have an effective status in international law because there was no international agreement to materialize their status as sovereign countries," Lu said, after first noting that the question of Crimea "depends on how the problem is perceived" as the region was "at the beginning Russian" and then "offered to Ukraine during the Soviet era."

"If anyone is still wondering why the Baltic States don't trust China to 'broker peace in Ukraine,' here's a Chinese ambassador arguing that Crimea is Russian and our countries' borders have no legal basis," Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landsbergis wrote on Twitter Saturday following Lu's interview.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/24/china/china-ambassador-lu-shaye-baltic-soviet-states-europe-intl-hnk/index.html
2.4K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:29
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2023-04-24 17:12:36 Australia overhauls defence strategy to respond to China’s build-up

Government to strengthen northern bases and long-range strike capabilities for ‘missile age’ threats

Australia has unveiled the biggest strategic shift in its military posture since the second world war to adapt to China’s military build-up in the region and the “rise of the missile age”.

“No longer is our alliance partner, the United States, the unipolar leader of the Indo-Pacific. Intense China-United States competition is the defining feature of our region and our time,” the report said.

“China’s military build-up is now the largest and most ambitious of any country since the end of the second world war,” said the report, which was written by Angus Houston, the former head of Australia’s defence force, and former defence minister Stephen Smith. It warned that the rivalry between the US and China “has the potential to threaten our interests, including the potential for conflict”.

The defence pivot is anticipated to cost A$19bn (US$12.7bn) over the next four years, though almost A$8bn of funding will come from project cancellations or revisions. Existing plans to procure 450 infantry vehicles from German and South Korean contractors have immediately been reduced, as has an order of howitzers.

Roggeveen said the cancelled projects — which fit in Australia’s traditional defence approach — highlighted how the new stance was focused on denying China the ability to dominate the region, which he described as an achievable strategy.

https://www.ft.com/content/cf8d6271-3008-46e6-ba55-66fb2deae115

https://archive.ph/thUoS
2.5K viewsFRANCISCVS, 14:12
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2023-04-24 16:48:24 Factory Slump Hits Taiwan as March Industrial Output Plummets

Taiwan’s industrial production plunged in March, weighed down by a manufacturing sector struggling to overcome a slump in global demand.
Industrial output shrank 14.5% last month compared to a year ago, the Economics Ministry said in a statement Monday. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast a 12.3% drop.

March’s decline was the biggest contraction since May 2009 — in the direct aftermath of the global financial crisis — for any month other than January and February.

While output in the electricity sector also shrank, the main drag was from Taiwan’s increasingly idle factory floors. Manufacturing production fell 15.2%. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the economy’s largest company, foreshadowed the news in its first-quarter earnings call last week, saying lower capacity utilization had weighed on its gross margin.

Taiwan’s chip output declined 18.9% in March, the Economics Ministry data show. 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-24/factory-slump-hits-taiwan-as-march-industrial-output-plummets

https://archive.ph/fgmEB
2.8K viewsFRANCISCVS, edited  13:48
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2023-04-24 16:37:09 The Philippines and China have agreed to establish “more lines of communications” to immediately resolve conflicts between the two countries over the West Philippine Sea, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. said.

“We are currently working on that and are awaiting the Chinese response and we are confident that these issues would be worked out that would be mutually beneficial for both our nations,” Marcos said in a statement after a meeting with China’s Foreign Minister Qin Gang, who is on a three-day visit to Manila, his first trip to the Southeast Asian nation.

China and the Philippines should work together to promote peace and stability in Asia by deepening their relations, Qin said before meeting Marcos, in a sign that Beijing is seeking to chip away at US sway in the Southeast Asian nation.

Qin’s visit coincides with the largest US-Philippines military exercises in decades. Top diplomats and defense officials from the countries recently met in Washington, where they expressed “strong objections” to Beijing’s sea claims, and agreed to finalize plans for joint patrols in the disputed waters.

Qin’s visit to the Philippines comes ahead of Marcos’s meeting with President Joe Biden at the White House on May 1. They plan to discuss economic cooperation, clean energy transition investment, and efforts to uphold international law and promote a free and open Indo-Pacific.

“It’s very, very useful and very, very productive that Minister Qin came here and that we were able to talk things a little bit through, make plans for the future,” Marcos said.

https://gcaptain.com/philippines-opens-more-lines-of-communication-with-china-to-resolve-maritime-conflict/
3.1K viewsFRANCISCVS, 13:37
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