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The latest Messages 3
2022-05-12 14:58:12
EURGBP 0.86000 target achieved…
Classy monetary policy divergence trade, we expect this to continue higher towards 0.87000 but it may need a deeper pullback and the right catalyst (possibly the next ECB meeting) to ignite the next bullish leg, don’t FOMO at the highs, for the time being, 0.86000 target achieved
296 viewsJay Rally, 11:58
2022-05-11 15:38:12
https://besomebodyfx.com/crypto-global-macro-q2-2022/
396 viewsJay Rally, 12:38
2022-05-06 16:57:07
EURGBP ongoing and approaching full target zone, beware of pullbacks around the weekly close later, but overall this should break above and beyond target “fairly soon” since the ECB continues to send hints about an approaching rate hike while the BoE hinted at pausing their tightening cycle, classy monetary policy divergence, have a great weekend everybody
746 viewsJay Rally, 13:57
2022-05-05 18:27:00
https://besomebodyfx.com/crypto-global-macro-q2-2022/
783 viewsJay Rally, 15:27
2022-05-03 10:51:04
EURGBP target 0.86000…
A monetary policy “catch up” trade, the ECB will start raising rates in a couple of months, while the BoE may slow down their tightening plan going forward
The yield differential already shows bond yields pricing such policy move, with European rates outperforming UK ones (orange line on the chart)
We are bullish EURGBP and we expect 0.86000 to be tapped “fairly soon” although the geopolitical risks in Europe definitely add some uncertainty to the trade, keep it smart
937 viewsJay Rally, 07:51
2022-04-26 18:34:41
https://besomebodyfx.com/crypto-global-macro-q2-2022/
1.2K viewsJay Rally, 15:34
2022-04-22 15:22:43
https://besomebodyfx.com/introduction-to-central-banks-and-monetary-policy/
1.4K viewsJay Rally, 12:22
2022-04-22 15:21:46
https://besomebodyfx.com/introduction-to-central-banks-and-monetary-policy/
1.3K viewsJay Rally, 12:21
2022-04-21 11:20:14
No sign of bulls on USDCAD, we need a strong and meaningful (higher timeframe) bullish price action here at support to engage with the second round of longs, and so far nothing, keep an eye on Powell’s speech today for some volatility, his only speech until the May 4 FOMC
1.1K viewsJay Rally, 08:20
2022-04-19 16:34:21
A few updated notes on USDCAD…
We continue to expect USD strength heading into the May 4 FOMC with a 50bps hike and QT announcement, from a technical point of view also is worth noticing the POC shifting to higher levels, USDCAD expected “fair value” still around 1.27800
1.1K viewsJay Rally, 13:34
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