2021-08-30 12:41:04
Macro Research Singapore: What’s next for the Straits Times Index? ——————————————————
• Earnings for most companies in the STI have rebounded after a steep decline last year. We expect a robust earnings rebound (48% YoY) in ‘21 and ’22 (14% YoY), driven by the banks, capital goods industry, industrial REITs, developers as well as travel and tourism-related names.
• With the STI’s valuation being undemanding, we see scope for re-rating in the near term thanks to i) a high vaccination rate and soon-to-achieve herd immunity, as well as ii) a robust economic recovery.
• However, we remain reserved on Singapore’s longer-term outlook. From the macro front, there is also a lack of longer-term upside catalyst once Singapore’s exports strength fades.
• Nevertheless, we believe the risk-reward for Singapore equities is more favourable in the near term (’21 – ’22). However, we remain neutral and cautious on the longer-term outlook. Our team projects an upside potential of 22% by end-’23.
: Read the full article here
: Active approach - Nikko AM Singapore Dividend Equity SGD; Passive approach - SPDR STI ETF (SGX:ES3)
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