2022-02-20 17:26:48
GBPCHF | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up details
https://www.tradingview.com/x/LSCKAsl5/
Price action has been consolidating right above the key level at Fr1.25 since my last publication (see link here https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPCHF/gogN79SH-GBPCHF-Perspective-for-the-new-week-Follow-up-details/ for reference purposes) as indecision continues to grip the market. Like I stated in my last publication, the key level remains a very sensitive borderline where the probability of bullish and bearish momentum is almost of the same possibility. A significant engulfing candle, either way, could send the price all the way hence the need to have a critical observation coupled with parameters that will give a clue into what direction price is likely to move towards in the coming week(s).
This being said, I still hold on to my previous perspective as I expect bears to come in any time soon!
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Supply & Demand | Channel | Reversal pattern (Breakdown)
Observation: i. Following the bullish momentum that gripped the market since the 6th of December 2021, the Fr1.254 level has held price "resisted" since mid-January 2022 hereby revealing an underlying strength in favour of the sellers at this juncture in the market.
ii. The momentum that guided price to higher highs in the last 2 months appears to be diminishing as buyers continue to find it difficult to push the price beyond Fr1.256.
iii. After observing market structure since price hit Fr1.3000 in March last year, I noticed that price has been consolidating within a descending channel where the demand level is turning into a supplication area as we can see a successful breakdown of this level in October 2021.
iv. In this regard, I shall be looking to take advantage of a bearish move anywhere below the key level @ Fr1.2500 with the hopes that the price continue to respect the boundary of the channel in the coming week(s).
iv. However, considering the long-term bullish perspective and the significance of this juncture in the market; a significant breakout of the channel could render this narrative invalid as might actually be witnessing a retracement of the bullish momentum... Trade consciously!
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 12 to 25 days
NB: This speculation may be considered to make individual decisions on lower timeframe.
Watch this space @nirvanaforex for updates as price action is been monitored.
#GBPCHF
Disclaimer: https://t.me/nirvanaforex/1044
@nirvanaforex
...we do not chase the market; we wait for the market to send us her signal and we follow!
127 viewsMaster Sheriff, 14:26