Pennsylvania MAGA (Former Audit Watch)

2021-07-10 01:21:41 PENNSYLVANIA
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Final graphic for PA.

I have recently dubbed this trend "Keshel's Principle" - for counties/states with declining/stagnant population growth and undergoing a coalition shift (Ds becoming Rs), a substantial gain for one party as the other party is going extinct (confirmed by registration data and the trend of the state and no influx of new voters) generally comes at the expense of the other party. Notice in all counties, Dems lose VOTES (not just % share) and Rs gain, and BIG TIME under Trump.

Trump gains BIG again in 2020 but Biden in two of these gains MORE votes than Trump. It wasn't about WINNING these counties, it was about LOSING THEM LESS BAD to get Philly in position to do its job.

Note also the shifts in registration. Westmoreland is CRIMINAL, up 16K in Rs and down 10K in Ds.

I estimate Trump lost a margin of 62k just between these four counties. Open / Comment

2021-07-10 01:21:41 Notice some of these counties have over a 10% gain for Rs in Registration but nearly all moved left. Westmoreland, York, Luzerne, and Butler are among ugliest in PA.

Why did everyone in PA, with stagnant population growth, register R just so they can give JB more votes than Obama in PAs biggest landslide since 1964? Open / Comment

2021-07-10 01:21:41 PENNSYLVANIA
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*READ BEFORE COMMENTING - "I THOUGHT MY COUNTY WAS RED"*

(sorry for grainy photo)

Review previous PA graphic on registration trend. Here are 20 counties not tied to blue bubbles that show how accurate the registration predictor is.

Starting Point is 2004. First column shows which party had a registration edge, and by how much. Next column shows results of that years election (Kerry won PA by 2.5%).

2008 columns show TREND in the registration. Ones in blue trended D in registration and suggested the county would move left. If results are in blue, the county moved left by that much. Vice versa for red and right. These counties were 20/20 on registration predictor.

2012, independents so heavily R that this predictor was 85% accurate (17/20).

2016, 60 of 67 counties registered more R and then 62 voted more R than in 2012. Trump flipped PA. This predictor for these counties was 20/20 perfect.

In 2020, in same counties, the predictor only picked 1/20 for having a rightward trend. Open / Comment

2021-07-10 01:21:41 PENNSYLVANIA
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Now here is a telltale sign that PA was horribly rigged. In fact, since I have more data like party registrations here I actually consider it the ugliest. I believe this was a 300-400k vote Trump state.

Notice how the bottom line result trends with the party that gained in net registration. Now in 2020, despite a massive 21-1 net registration gain by Trump GOP, the state went back on its predictors. Erie and Northampton flipped back to blue despite strong GOP trends.

This state is horrendous. GOP gained registration ground in 60 counties but only trended 20 counties more red in votes.

Next slides get more micro. Open / Comment

2021-07-10 01:21:41 PENNSYLVANIA
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No, that’s not PA, but this is how states that register by party trend with party registration as far as results go.

Florida moved left for Dems in registration in 2008 and suggested a big left movement for Obama. The state moved 7.7% left. Ever since then, it’s moved right in registration and in votes.

Study this and understand it... and then my next post regarding PA KEYSTONE DAY will be this same slide, but for PA. Open / Comment

2021-07-10 01:21:41 PENNSYLVANIA
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PA has a lot of registered Ds that always have voted R at federal level, like presidential elections.

Here is a registration chart in keeping with the one I demonstrated in text the other day.

Notice the large Dem % registration gain from 2004-2008, which signified that Obama would move the 2.5% Kerry margin substantially left, to 10%.

That was the Dem peak in the region. The Ds began losing influence in his first term and the registration gap tightened slightly toward R, though both parties lost net voters. Trend Romney. Then big time surge toward GOP, suggesting Trump flip of the state.

If Trump were to drop PA legitimately I would expect Ds to pick back up their advantage to 11% or more. Instead, major movement again, Ds basically going extinct.

I had hateful commenter challenge the math here. The term is “net”. Ds gained only 12k NET new registered Ds. Rs added 242k. That math is over a 20 to 1 net new registration edge for Rs, suggesting HEAVY movement to the right, not left. Open / Comment

2021-07-10 01:21:41 PENNSYLVANIA

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Here is where I started my assessment of PA and other states. They correlate to Florida and the movement of the working class vote. Since 1968, PA and MI have trended in the same direction as FL without fail. OH, WI, and MN also do, too, except for 2004 - people believe a heavy anti war vote turned WI/MN back left.

To understand this graphic - the color represents the party that gained in the state and by how many points. Not necessarily the winner. For example, Bush won FL in 1988 but by a lot less than Reagan did, so the trend was blue by 8.3%.

I was watching FL closely. Trump won it by 1.2% in 2016. My assessment was that a bigger margin would coincide with PA and MI moving right. A Trump margin loss or outright loss in Florida would tell me a long night was on the way.

I was one of few to predict Florida to Trump by over 300,000. It went right by another 2.3%.

Now... first time in this sample... PA and MI somehow move way left, and also, so do WI and MN, two other DJT states. Open / Comment

2021-07-10 00:57:44 It's obvious Pennsylvania Attorney General Shapiro has his facts wrong. It's not just Senator Mastriano calling for a full forensic audit of the November 3rd General Election, it's the entire country.

NATIONAL AUDIT WATCH CALL TO ACTION

Pennsylvania needs our help! Please call and/or email PA Attorney General Josh Shapiro to let him know the voters of Pennsylvania demand a full forensic audit of the November 3rd General Election! Let him know Sen. Doug Mastriano is not only person in pursuit of the TRUTH. Quite the opposite. Every registered voter in the country deserves to know the TRUTH. We need to know every legal vote cast in Pennsylvania's November 3rd General Election was counted.

Time to free Pennsylvania!

AG Shapiro's Contact Information:
Office Phone: 717-787-3391
Contact Form: https://www.attorneygeneral.gov/contact/

National Audit Watch Channel: @AuditWatch
Pennsylvania Audit Watch Channel: @PAAuditWatch Open / Comment

2021-07-10 00:08:01 White House Announces Joe Biden's Trip to Philadelphia to Fight Pennsylvania Senate Audit of Election Results, The Election Corruption Must Be Maintained At All Costs

The Last Refuge

"I hate to say I told ya so, but…. [SEE HERE] The stakes are just too high to allow the Senate in Pennsylvania to conduct a 2020 election audit; and all prior corrupt activity must be protected and maintained. As a direct result the White House is announcing the people behind Joe Biden are immediately dispatching all federal resources to Philadelphia to begin the war against Pennsylvania voters."

Read the full article here:
CTH The Last Refuge: Biden Goes to PA

National Audit Watch Channel: @AuditWatch
Pennsylvania Audit Watch Channel: @PAAuditWatch Open / Comment

2021-07-10 00:06:39 (continued from above)

Some of you give me trouble about being more reserved on my opinion of the election, but you need people to offer counter points. I am not willing to get myself cut off by making assessments that I don't have the evidence to support. In the intelligence world, that gets the wrong people killed. I know for a fact that numbers are off. We have behavioral examples (Fulton pipe burst, TCF Center, 3:42 AM ballot dumps, etc.), statistical examples, and now, after-action examples suggesting a cover up.

Finally, I must tell you, I just received a call from a very important state in a place my instincts told me was off - and sure as hell, we need to keep pushing. Instead of negativity, venting, or ranting about nothing being done (or even worse, "where is the military?"), do something. Join your audit group. Go visit your local rep. Join your state GOP meetings. And this is just the election - there are many other ways to get involved. It is very clear that President Trump, from his own press releases, is planning to mount a legal challenge for reinstatement should the audits reveal that he truly won the states. Does anyone want to tell me what 11 + 16 + 20 + 232 is? Why, it is 279 electoral votes. AZ, GA, and PA are in motion.

Such a thing has no precedent. A lot would have to go right. Courts would have to not only be willing to take the cases on, but then would need to rule in favor of this. The media will be in overdrive. Activists would cause chaos for distraction. The US Congress, the entity who counts electoral votes per the Constitution, would never acknowledge any audit results. So truly, any such thing would be unprecedented. But I can also assure you that you will NEVER REGRET having fought for the things that you believe in. It is a gift to our posterity to hand them a system of elections that honors their voices. If you duck and run now, you won't have the opportunity to stand up in the future. Look at all of the other examples in this world in which people sat back because they were afraid of losing membership, status, pensions, or friends (even family!). The majority of Germans and their soldiers in the 1930s and 1940s were not Nazis in political affiliation - but they did nothing. Evil gripped their country and nearly took over the world, if not for America. It's "We the People." If not you, who, and if not now, when?

I am very proud of those in the audit groups, especially those in states who will refuse to hear anything. Follow their lead if you're feeling down. If you're feeling down, it's alright - read about how Washington felt when he couldn't win a battle, and then again how he kept going. That is who WE are. Open / Comment