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Channel address: @startlearninginvestaaj
Categories: Economics
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The latest Messages 8

2022-02-24 08:16:06 Fear index hits 20-month high as Russia launches military action against Ukraine

India VIX Index hit a high of 33.97 -- a level last seen on 17 June 2020. At 10.15am, it was trading at 31.94, up 30.14% from its previous close. The VIX, which tracks investors’ perceptions of volatility for at least a month ahead, is up 107% year-to-date.
An index tracking market volatility, aka the fear index, soared more than 30 percent - hitting a 20 month high after Russia ordered military action against Ukraine.

Market LIVE Updates

The volatility index typically has an inverse correlation with the benchmark Sensex and Nifty indices, both of which fell tracking global equities as Russia orders military action against Ukraine.

India VIX Index hit a high of 33.97 -- a level last seen on 17 June 2020. At 10.15am, it was trading at 31.94, up 30.14 percent from its previous close. The VIX, which tracks investors’ perceptions of volatility for at least a month ahead, is up 107 percent year-to-date.
The Nifty 50 index was down 3 percent, or 536 points, at 16,530. The BSE-Sensex was down 1,776 points or 3.1 percent at 55,455 points.

Moody's raises India 2022 GDP growth forecast to 9.5% from 7%

"We are seeing the first meaningful correction in the market after a strong performance in 2021. A correction was due where geopolitical tension has become an excuse for this correction. Inflation and rising interest rates are the major concerns for equity markets and geopolitical tension is increasing the risk of inflation as energy prices are rising. Anecdotally, such kinds of geopolitical issues provide a good buying opportunity for the long-term investors and we are in a structural bull run that is likely to continue for the next couple of years where intermediate corrections will be part of this journey" said Parth Nyati, Founder - Tradingo.

Analysts say that the near 20 percent decline from the peak in NASDAQ is a clear indication of the correction that has set in. Also, the safe haven gold shooting to $1913 is a reflection of the risks arising from the crisis.

Nifty, Sensex crash about 3% each: 3 factors are dragging the market

"Markets remained in a tight range with increased volatility ahead of F&O monthly expiry and uncertain global environment. Nifty has been witnessing selling pressure at higher levels with the range shifting lower every day... While the Russia- Ukraine conflict seems to be mostly factored in by the market, other events like assembly election, commodity inflation, Fed rate hike and consistent FII selling are likely to be overhang on the market in the near term", said Motilal Oswal in a note to investors.

Analysts advise long-term investors that they should not panic and look for buying opportunities from lower levels where the domestic economy facing sectors like capital goods, infrastructure, real estate, and financials should be on investors' radar.

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132 views05:16
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2022-02-18 09:30:55
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86 views06:30
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2022-02-17 08:41:19
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2022-02-16 12:22:57
64 views09:22
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2022-02-15 09:32:07
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30 views06:32
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2022-02-15 09:04:41 Morgan Stanley's Chetan Ahya says RBI underestimating inflation, 50 bps hike by Fed no done deal

On February 15, data released by the government showed that inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index hit a seven-month high of 6.01 percent in January
Morgan Stanley Chief Asia Economist and Co-head of Global Economics Chetan Ahya told business news channel CNBC-TV18 on February 15 that the Reserve Bank of India may be underestimating the inflation numbers in the country.

The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee on February 10 surprised the financial community with its dovish stance on monetary policy as well as inflation. The MPC said that inflation will fall towards its medium-term target of 4 percent in the second half of the next financial year.

The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee on February 10 surprised the financial community with its dovish stance on monetary policy as well as inflation. The MPC said that inflation will fall towards its medium-term target of 4 percent in the second half of the next financial year.

The central bank’s dovishness on inflation comes at a time when globally developed markets are witnessing an acceleration in inflation not seen since the 1980s due to strong labour markets and continued supply crunch caused by the after-effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Governor Das has reiterated that the nature and drivers of inflation at home and in developed economies are markedly different.

The US Federal Reserve has made a sharp pivot towards raising interest rates in the coming months with traders betting on the central bank to hike policy rates by five times this year alone from the record low of 0-0.25 percent.
Ahya said that the Morgan Stanley’s US team expects the US Fed to raise interest rates by 150 basis points this year and that a 50-basis-point hike is on the table for the upcoming meeting in March.

However, Ahya suggested that the 50 basis points hike that investors are pricing in for March may not yet be a done deal given that there is one more print of retail inflation due before the Fed’s rate-setting panel meets.
Ahya also said that India’s economy was likely to grow 7.5 percent in 2022 and 7.2 percent in 2023.

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86 views06:04
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2022-02-14 17:12:25
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119 views14:12
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2022-02-13 08:37:42
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2022-02-12 18:38:17
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2022-02-12 13:57:36
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