2021-12-17 12:53:13
Drone delivery is inevitable
Yesterday, I read a good article by Byrne Hobart on his "The Diff" blog. Byrne reasons
autonomous drones will soon be the dominant way to deliver small payloads—lunch, a snack, coffee, medication, household products.
He illustrates the inefficiency of current delivery by car with an example of delivering a 1-pound (0.5 kg) burrito. A person devotes 100% of his time to driving a 2800-lb (1300 kg) car, making a series of turns, and moving at a variable speed because of stop signs, stoplights, and other obstacles.
Of the ~2lbs (1 kg) of CO2 emitted in a three-mile drive, 99.6% are spent on moving a person and a vehicle, while the other 0.4% are devoted to moving the food. As for the cost of that transaction, a big chunk is paying a person to maneuver a large vehicle around other rather large vehicles, all to deliver something comparatively tiny.
So any small payload that needs timely delivery can be sent more efficiently by a drone than by a car.
Alphabet's Wing startup is an excellent example of how autonomous drones can work as a product. Wing had done 100,000 deliveries since launch as of late August in their current markets of Australia, the US, and Finland. An Irish startup Manna, which uses human-operated drones, says its delivery costs are 90% lower than drivers.
So once drones have reasonable incremental margins, a decent safety record, and consumer adoption, the main problem to solve would be capital to build drone fleets. And capital has never been more abundant.
Video about Wing
Article about Manna
Byrne's full blog post
#drones #startups #delivery
320 viewsDmitrii Blium, 09:53