Jared Tate

2022-05-25 00:08:58 Heres the hard historical analysis people for beef, chicken, rice, wheat. If farm inputs increase, its a 6 month lag and almost 1:1 movement for retail food costs. In 6 months your food is going to 2-3x by Thanksgiving. And more by this time next year. Open / Comment

2022-05-24 23:50:02 While searching for hard economic analysis to backup by theory food will 3-5x by this time next year I found this report by US Congressional Research Service: Farm-to-Food Price Dynamics

Economic analysis of farm-to-retail price transmission leads to three generalizations: first,
causality usually runs from changes in farm prices to changes in retail prices; second, time lags in
retail price response to farm price changes are generally months in length, even for perishables
like milk, meat, and fresh fruits and vegetables; and third, retail prices appear to respond
asymmetrically, with adjustments to increases in farm prices occurring faster and with greater
pass-through than adjustments to decreases in farm prices. This last generalization is often
referred to as “sticky” retail food prices—that is, retail prices follow commodity prices upward
rapidly, but fall back only slowly and partially when commodity prices recede.


"For example, the rise in farm prices that
occurred between 2006 and mid-2008 was substantially larger and occurred about six months
earlier than the rise in corresponding retail food product prices"

So if we are seeing 2-3x planting inpust costs to farmers planting now in May, we will see the corresponding prices in grocery store 6 months later. (October) Not including further fuel cost increases by then for transportation to stores. https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R40621.pdf Open / Comment

2022-05-24 23:18:37 And all of this depends on IF, a big IF we even plant as much food as normal. All planting is lagging, some planting data of this week is worst in 1/4 century:

"U.S. spring wheat was just 49% planted as of Sunday, the slowest for the date since records began in 1981. That compares with 39% in the prior week and an 83% average." https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/avoid-potential-misread-us-planting-pace-delayed-states-2022-05-24/ Open / Comment

2022-05-24 23:12:36 None of these input costs used to grow this summers harvest to feed cattle, chicken, pigs bake bread and more have even been priced in at the grocery store yet. We could see another 3-5x in food costs by this time next year. Get prepared while you still can. Open / Comment

2022-05-24 23:12:00 US farmers paying 2-3x more for fuel/fertilizer than last year (if they can get it). Add worst drought out west in 150 years, Ukraine war, inflation, supply chain shortages. What do you think this does to price of food after fall harvest w/ less food grown?https://www.agweb.com/news/business/taxes-and-finance/filling-tractor-tank-daily-now-costs-some-farmers-1000-double-what Open / Comment

2022-05-23 19:32:39 https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1528682505217490950?s=20&t=xd10G6Mv0XNNggN61LJz0Q Open / Comment

2022-05-23 19:32:32 The only thing standing between Elites completely enslaving WE THE PEOPLE through digital technocracy is truly decentralized, hard capped #blockchain technology & assets. We must protect our money, data, essential infrastructure w/ code outside their control. Open / Comment

2022-05-23 19:32:22 https://twitter.com/jaredctate/status/1528775711875399680?s=20&t=xd10G6Mv0XNNggN61LJz0Q Open / Comment

2022-05-13 02:58:56 https://twitter.com/jaredctate/status/1524901332879978496?s=20&t=-0Fp3QNOixWbaRgGBsP5-g Open / Comment

2022-05-13 02:57:01 Seriously stop buying $LUNA people (still seeing many are), the algo has minted 120 billion more since I made my tweet just an hour ago. Almost 200 billion now. As the price goes to 0.000000 it will print trillions. Any exchange trading this is complicit in fraud at this point. Open / Comment