The Real Rayner Teo

2024-03-05 15:33:13 The Parabolic Stock Trading Strategy Guide

Learn More https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/parabolic-stock-trading/

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2024-03-05 04:01:28 [Why you always get stop hunted and how to avoid it]

Imagine…

You manage a hedge fund and want to buy 1 million shares of ABC stock. You know support is at $100 and ABC is currently trading at $110.

Now if you were to buy ABC stock right now, you’ll likely push the price higher and get filled at an average price of $115 — that’s $5 higher than the current price.

So what do you do?

Since you know $100 is an area of support, chances are, there will be a cluster of stop loss underneath it (from traders who are long ABC stock).

So, if you could push the price lower to trigger these stops, there would be a flood of sell orders hitting the market (as buyers will exit their losing positions).

With the amount of selling pressure coming in, you could buy your 1 million shares of ABC stock from these traders which gives you a better average price.

In other words, if an institution wants to long the markets with minimal slippage, they tend to place a sell order to trigger nearby stop losses. This allows them to buy from traders cutting their losses, which offers them a more favourable entry price.

Go look at your charts and you’ll often see the market taking out the lows of support, only to trade higher subsequently.

Now you’re probably wondering:

“So how do I avoid it?”

Simple.

Set your stop loss a distance away from support to give it some buffer so your stop loss doesn’t get eaten too easily.

Here’s how…
- Identify the lows of support
- Find the current Average True Range (ATR) value and subtract 1 ATR from the lows of support

The idea is to define the current market’s volatility and then subtract it from the lows of support.

This way, you are giving your stop loss a buffer that’s based on the volatility of the markets (and not just some random number).

Pro Tip:
If you want a tighter stop loss, you can reduce your ATR multiple, like having 0.5 ATR instead of 1. Open / Comment

2024-03-04 15:32:15 How To Set Take Profit Orders (The Essential Guide)

Learn More https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/take-profit-orders/

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2024-03-04 04:02:05 Many traders make the mistake of trying to find the best trading strategy.

In reality, it's about knowing yourself so you can find the best strategy to suit you. Open / Comment

2024-03-03 15:48:05 On Balance Volume (The Essential Guide)

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2024-03-02 15:32:39 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement: A Step-by-Step Guide for Traders

Learn More https://www.tradingwithrayner.com/how-to-draw-fibonacci-retracement/

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2024-03-02 04:01:13 [Support could become resistance, why?]

There are two reasons for this…

Reason #1: Losing traders hoping to get out at breakeven

Support is an area where potential buying pressure could step in and push the price higher.

However, support doesn’t always hold.

When it breaks, those traders who are long will be sitting in the red. The smart traders will cut their losses and move on. But, stubborn traders will hold onto to their losses and hope the price will reverse back to their entry price — so they can get out at breakeven.

So if you think about it, this group of stubborn traders will create selling pressure at their entry price as they exit their positions, and if there’s enough of such traders, support will become resistance.

But that’s not all because…

Reason #2: Textbook setup

Traders familiar with classical technical analysis will look to sell at the previous area of support as that’s what most textbooks teach.

And if you get enough traders “following” the textbook setup, it puts selling pressure on the previous area of support which could now become resistance. Open / Comment

2024-03-01 04:00:35 In trading, you're not paid by the hour but, by doing the correct things over and over again. Don't forget that! Open / Comment

2024-02-29 15:37:45 This is a 31-page trading booklet that contains a specific trading system that has generated 1451.74% since 2000—and has 18 winning years out of the last 20.

Learn More https://pullbackstocktradingsystem.com/ Open / Comment

2024-02-29 04:00:25 [Why support and resistance are not lines on your chart]

Let me share with you a story…

In my early days of trading, I used to think my support and resistance lines are the best and the market will respect it to the pip.

But it didn’t take me long to realize my support and resistance levels keep getting breached, and I thought it was a breakout.

So I traded the breakout.

The next thing I know, the price quickly made a swift reversal in the opposite direction and I got stopped out.

So, I looked back at my charts and asked myself:

“What the hell went wrong?”

Well, it seems the levels I drew did hold up, albeit not to the exact pip.

And that’s when I had an “Aha!” moment…

I realized support and resistance are not lines, instead, they are areas on my chart. Here’s why…

There are usually two groups of traders in the market:

- FOMO traders
- Cheapo traders


I’ll explain…

Traders with the fear of missing out (FOMO) would enter their trades the moment price comes close to support.

And if there’s enough buying pressure, the market would reverse at that location.

On the other hand, some traders want to get the best possible price (cheapo traders), so they place orders at the lows of support. And if enough traders do it, the market will reverse near the lows of support.

But here’s the thing:

You’ve no idea which group of traders will be in control. Whether it’s FOMO or cheapo traders.

Thus, support and resistance are areas on your chart, not lines. Open / Comment