WOLF OF DALAL STREET

2021-03-05 17:53:29 I am just sharing my key observations for some Indian companies who use Next Generation Technology like Data Science, Machine Learning and Artficial Intelligence Algorithms exceptionally well on their repository of data are:

- ASIAN PAINTS
- BAJAJ FINANCE
- INFOEDGE
- INDIAMART
- CAMS INDIA (Computer Age Management Services)

Next Candidate is ICICI Bank is increasingly moving in that direction.

It is Very Important and Intangible Value Creation which you need to understand and appreciate it.

If India has to Win the Race for Global Domination in Next 15 years, Indian Companies have to implement and drive Innovation and discover new breakthrough technologies for universal sustainibility.

And last thing if India really wants to become a Superpower in next 15 years than Bet more on Agriculture Sector.

I will give you a hint - Agrochemicals is a structural theme. Time has come and We are just getting started.

Look for companies in Transition.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA) Open / Comment

2021-03-05 17:09:18 Do the Maths Correctly.
It will be rather sooner or later Americans will really feel the Real Value of their Ex-President Donald Trump.

Rebirth of India on Global Scale will take atleast 15 years of journey to be more Realistic.

I am not becoming more optimistic but India will Overtake China by 2035 to be the Most Almighty & Powerful Economy in the World.

I am observing a revolutionary transformational trend in our India today.

Out of my friends and relatives from business families are branching out on their own to pursue a corporate career/ Identifying their new business from scratch or venturing into a new innovative startup.

The real reason is Lack of Freedom in a family business.

This is a very interesting trend.

But by 2050, only if we make it a single minded pursuit for the next 30 years.

So India has the last hope, because Demographic Dividend will dimish in the next 15-20 years.

Mark my words this will be ASIA's century for sure.

The most red hot product today is Semiconductors. There is a gold rush going on. Time for Asian Countries like Taiwan, South Korea and Vietnam to Boom.

Again i am referring to long term cycles. 17th century Deja Vu.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA) Open / Comment

2021-03-05 16:32:49 In another 6-8 years, China will be the Most Almighty & Powerful Economy in the World, whether you like it OR not.

Understand their New Liberal Reforms and Policy Making.

The reason i am telling you this that in the last 5 years, the Biggest Multibaggers in India have been created due to China's Socio-Economic policies OR our response to those reforms & policies.

Now the time has come. Please try to pay more Attention OR Atleast equal attention to what's going on in the CPCC meet in China like you give more amount of attention to America's Fed Policy.

China targeting 70,000 kms of High Speed train network by 2035.

UK'S SUNAK SAYS IS ANNOUNCING UK INFRASTRUCTURE BANK BASED IN LEEDS || SAYS BANK WILL HAVE INITIAL CAPITALISATION OF 12B STG.

Are we going to Witness A New Super Cycle in Metals?

There will be a Global Infrastructure Boom.

Get ready for it and position yourself accordingly.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA) Open / Comment

2021-03-05 14:49:21 All Commodity Mega Cycles start as Supply Shocks.

Never in the history of this world has any Commodity Bull market started as a Demand Shock.

Demand shock comes 18-24 months into the mega cycle when the world realizes that we have been woefully underinvesting in Exploration/Mining.

Just because you had very low inflation globally for the more than 12 years since post Lehman Brother Crisis

You extrapolate the same for the current Decade.

It would be a grave mistake in my view.

Transition in Sector Leadership is always Violent. That's what you are witnessing now.

Finally Inflation is coming out of Hibernation. After Staying in Comma for long years we will see Inflation go higher in years to come.

And now see even any Central Bank in the World cannot Stop it...

World will become more costly and expensive to Live. Now its time to Dump Fixed Deposits in Banks. Turn towards Smart Investing and Valuable Asset Class for Stable and Long Term Wealth Generation.

Position yourself accordingly.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA) Open / Comment

2021-03-05 11:43:55 Short Term Delivery Buy Maithan Alloys at 599 Tgt 675-690 S/L 565 on a closing basis Open / Comment

2021-03-05 11:39:08 Short Term Delivery Buy MARICO INDUSTRIES at 400.80 Tgt 460-480 S/L 370 on a closing basis Open / Comment

2021-03-05 11:30:39 Short Term Delivery Buy TATA METALLIKS at 789.80 Tgt 880-900 S/L 752 on a closing basis Open / Comment

2021-03-04 19:03:10 When the Pre-provisioning profit is Equivalent to the Market Cap of a bank with a Huge and Credible Franchise.

It will be unwise to Intellectualise on reasons to not buy it.

Such opportunities come seldom and one must encash it.

There are PSU banks which are trading at a Market Cap which are 1-1.4x Pre Provisioning Profit.

Such is the Value!!!

If last quarter was the worst of Corporate NPA cycle, FY23 me BV kya hoga

Be ready for a change in definition of quality.

30 basis points rally in US 10 Y Yields and the United States Technology trade is really struggling.

Just a gentle reminder that nothing is permanent and cycles change.

Leaders of last decade will not be the leaders of this decade.

I just try to declutter everything and share the big picture every week.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA). Open / Comment

2021-03-04 18:10:10 One of the biggest misconceptions that persists in India is that:

It is easier to game the system in a PSU bank as compared to a Private bank.

It is a Classic example of Armchair Analysis.

Problem is that when the narrative is so strong, few bother to look at historical data.

When we talk about capital allocation in Investing..

Please understand that the government is the biggest capital allocator.

And the government has allocated capital really well this time.

Please understand that earnings may continue to grow at 15-20% for many companies for the next 4-5 years..

But if PE is derated from 60 PE to 30PE, you wont make any money.

Sadly, many new investors who learnt their game between 2011-2020 are not well equipped for what's coming in this Ocean of Stock Market Investing.

Its still a Polarized Market, Albeit less than what it was 2 months ago.

Pick your Sectors and Stocks carefully. Tectonic shifts happening globally.

Double down on cyclicals. There is enough counter cyclical buffer.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA). Open / Comment

2021-03-04 17:16:30 In India Today, Unicorns are being built within 8-10 years.

And by all age groups, 20 years - 55 years.

Entrepreneurship is getting Democratized.

Take a punt on your ability and the future of this country.

The number of unicorns will only keep increasing.

Inflection Point for the country.

If you recall Budget 2021 Announcements so it means NCLT + IBC + BAD BANKS + DFI

=

CLEAN BALANCE SHEETS + MASSIVE INFRASTRUCTURE BOOM.

Now its time to Pick your Stocks for this Decade carefully.

Winners of this Decade will be very different from the Winners of Last Decade and so on.

Listen in. NEVER SHORT INDIA.

We are getting closer for the beginning of Re-Incarnation of India because Rebirth of New India is Inevitable.

Start a Business in India, Invest in India.

Next 10 years will be Magical.

Regards,
KIRAN SHETH (WOLF OF INDIA). Open / Comment