2022-05-31 17:52:49
NBA, statistical preview for the grand final
Warriors and Celtics will meet in this season's finale. Before the start of the series, we will have a preview of the game drawing and interesting / important layouts, but for now we will focus on figures and facts.
H2H meetings
This season, the teams met twice and exchanged away wins. Boston both times threw more accurately from the game, got on the line more often and lost the ball more. The main statistical difference is the work on the shields. When Boston confidently took this category, it confidently won, when it flew a little on the shield, lost by 4 points.
But it must be borne in mind that Warriors lost playing without Wiggins, and won playing without Poole and Thompson against the Celtics without Horford and Grant (and these were still the old "celts", before their great turning point in the middle of the season). In general, representativeness raises questions.
Conditions
Boston will have less time to rest, they finished their conference finals later. In fact, the "celts" have been playing every other day for a month (two 7-match series in a row, this is 4 weeks of such a game). Boston also plays with a narrower rotation.
And the main health issue before this series is Robert Williams. He plays and doesn't play, his knee is constantly bothering him, and in the last match of the finals of the East, Rob ran for only 15 minutes. Without him, a lot of things will be covered for Boston.
Statistics
In this playoff, Boston has the second best defense (only the Bucks were cooler). And Warriors have the second best attack (only the Pelicans were more effective, but they had only one series).
Celtics' defense is really cool, but statistically in the playoffs, the main distinguishing feature of their defense is a low number of fouls. And Warriors are not particularly focused on earning free throws. A powerful feature of Warriors' attack is working on someone else's shield, and here the Celtics' defense is not too strong. The weak side of the Warriors' attack is steals (although in the series with the Mavs, this was cleaned up), but Boston will not force steals.
Warriors' defense is sixth in this playoff (the Celtics' offense is seventh). At the same time, it is difficult to distinguish statistically characteristic features - none of the teams is in the top for any of the 4 key factors.
The pace of the teams is close, Warriors are 5th in speed, Boston is 7th.
Warriors' average match in this playoff: they score 114.5 points, concede 109.1.
The average Celtics game in this playoff: they score 107.1 points, concede 101.0.
Distribution of throws
The biggest difference between Celtics' attack and the average team is the high number of three-pointers. 45.5% of their shots from the game come from beyond the arc. And Warriors of three-pointers give a lot - 44.7% of their opponents' shots from the three-way game. They realize three-pointers with a percentage of 36.5 against Golden State, and Boston hits 36.2% of its long-range shots. Everything roughly fits together and it seems clear what can be expected.
Warriors are in the lead in shots from the distance of the floater (1-3 meters), they make 27.1% of their shots from the game from there and get the best 57.3% of these shots in this PO. But against Boston from this distance they throw not so often (20.9% of all shots of the opponent), and not at all accurately (37.5% of the implementation).
85 viewsedited 14:52
M
