MVP Sports Consulting

2022-05-29 17:10:23 Open / Comment

2022-05-29 17:09:15 Who should win

From a purely basketball point of view, a healthy Boston looks better. But it's not a fact that they are healthy, they are playing away, and there is much more pressure on them, because they looked powerful, a lot was expected of them, and they led 3-2.

And there are two important x-factors.

First, whose role-players will be better to throw. There will be open three-way matches in this match, both teams will try to turn off the opponent's leaders first. It will be necessary to punish with long-range throws. There are enough unstable people in both teams in this regard.

Secondly, how the Miami veterans will react to the big minutes in Game 6. On the one hand, Butler finally looked healthy, after two failed matches. Lauri also had a better game after returning. We can say that they are all right now. And we can say that after huge minutes in the previous meeting, they will definitely fall apart.

What to pay attention to

If Hirro plays, he may be the one to reveal Bam. Tyler's jumpers will need to go out, and then Adebayo will throw out pick-and-rolls. Basically, after the last match, Boston can start throwing a crowd at Butler, so Bam can get some freedom in any case. It's better to watch it live, if the Celtics play higher in defense, you can take the effectiveness of Bam.

Al Horford will probably be open on the arc quite often. In the last match, he threw 6 threes, despite the reduced playing time due to fouls. Here I would expect at least a couple of hits.

I plan to take a beer and enjoy a wonderful match, if anything bet, then only in live, otherwise it looks like a guessing game

Open / Comment

2022-05-29 17:09:14 Miami vs. Boston, preview for 7 game

Boston is the 2.5-point favorite, total 195.5

Injuries: According to rotowire, there are a lot of questions - Smart, Rob Williams, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Hirro, Kyle Lauri and PJ Tucker - all may miss the match. But these are rather formal injuries, most of these people will be out for the 7th match.

Of the really discussed injuries are Hirro and Williams. Tyler has missed the last 3 matches, it's not a fact that he will return. Robert is constantly bothered by his knee, he sometimes plays, then does not, then goes out, and then leaves the match ahead of time. And these are important people.

Without Hirro, Miami doesn't always have enough creativity ahead. In the 6th game, Butler and Lauri gave out an excellent attacking basketball, and it turned out to snag a victory there. But in general, of course, they need another person capable of coming up with something on offense, especially - such as Hirro with his jumpers from the lead (Boston often gives such attempts).

Without Robert Williams, Boston cannot block the approaches to the ring, they simply do not have enough "big ones" in the rotation, often they have to leave only one major player, and then the Heat can attack paint. And also have to increase White's minutes, and Butler successfully hits him. And even without Robert, it is more difficult to punish Boston "zone", in which the team gets up on minutes with so-so defensive lineups.

At some minutes, Rob also created problems for the Miami team with match-ups, Bam took one of the "big ones", Tucker defended against Tatum, and then the second "big" of Boston played against someone inferior in size. When this second "big" Rob - he went to the ring and caught passes there, which the player taking care of him simply could not reach. But in the 6th game against Tatum, Lauri was often defended, which allowed him to leave the "big ones" against the "big ones", this partially solved the problem.

Game drawing

In the sixth game, both teams were quite focused on hitting vulnerable opponents. Boston was looking for Max Strus, Miami was attacking White. This turned out to create unequal exchanges or movement in the attack.

And I must say that Strus or Hirro, or Robinson, or Vincent, will be on the floor at Miami, and Boston will find a weak link here. But the same White may well be seated by the Boston in favor of Grant Williams, for example (in the last match he had problems with fouls, Grant did not play much). And then it will be harder for Miami to find a hole in Boston's defense.

Both teams also actively insured. Miami put Lauri at the entrance to the paint, which helped to meet rivals, but left White open. Boston traditionally relied on Rob's ability to work under the ring and bounce to his corner. And it worked with Rob, but when Williams sat down, Horford didn't have time to run like that, and the three were more open.

Here I must say that Miami will be able to play in its own defense in any case - White can be replaced by someone more useful in defense, but all these Williams and Smarts either do not throw at all, or they throw bad in recent matches. That is, it will be at the expense of whom to help. But Boston needs Rob Williams to protect them and needs him for big minutes (and he, as already mentioned, is not the fact that he is healthy). Open / Comment

2022-05-27 17:05:08 I will wait for information on Herro, if he is in the game, then I bet the total over, if he is not, take Boston -7 (buy some points). Waiting.. Open / Comment

2022-05-27 17:02:10 Heat vs. Celtics

The score in the series is 2-3

Boston confidently covers the "paint" in recent matches - no one goes out to Bam's pick-and-rolls, Butler is taken care of on the arc as if he had never held the ball in his hands. Celtics are drawn to the ring, and they don't care about the rest. Miami doesn't punish. They have a failed implementation of jumpers 2 games in a row, but it does not work out - there are a lot of block shots and interceptions (and here it should be noted Rob Williams, who in this regard turned the picture in favor of the Celts)

Boston itself is not that smart attacking. But they find opportunities: they run away in an early attack and earn fouls. Again, the Celtics normally attack the ring, because Miami cannot block the sky to the same extent (Hit has a three-second implementation outside the bracket - 23%, which is twice as bad as "bad"). In the 5th game, at some point, the jumpers at the Celtics began to come in. Miami has nothing ahead of them.

To fix the situation, Miami needs to start getting open jumpers, without this nothing will work. The awakening of someone from the available ones, or the return of Hirro, can help. Then everything else will work. Well, you need to run more, since you don't have a damn thing going on in static. Open / Comment

2022-05-26 18:08:16 Hello everyone

Again, the line is very complicated, the bookmakers are not fools and set the odds very correctly, and I don't like to play guessing games. Therefore, I have found one very interesting bet, the statistics on it are 3 1 in the series, and the odd is offered above 2.

You can use BETUS and get some bonus for registration

Thoughts.
What I am 100% sure of in this game is that Luka will score his 30, but such an event is regarded very low. Therefore, take SGP with a total of more than 214 and we will get a decent option. But there is no such bet in my bookmaker, if I find where to bet, I will definitely take it

SGP
Doncic 30+
Total over 114 Open / Comment

2022-05-26 05:26:50 WNBA PICK

LA Sparks Women - Phoenix Mercury Women UN165.5 Open / Comment

2022-05-25 18:44:50 Hi guys. Today, without picks on the line, I will try to throw something in live, well, or I will find an option on the WNBA. But I tried to write you a review of the series, I hope it's interesting Open / Comment

2022-05-25 18:41:29 ...

This is a very unstable series with sharp reversals and corners. But there are some patterns that will help you navigate before the fifth match.

Rob Williams is critical for Boston

It allows you to block the "paint", it makes it harder for Miami to play on Adebayo. Without this fly swatter, it is more difficult to defend the Celtics. Moreover, the effect is noticeable in the attack. Tucker usually takes care of Tatum, then Bam plays against Horford, and someone small is defending against Rob, which leads to aley-ups and an advantage on the shields (if Tyce plays instead of the Time Lord, there are no profits). These same qualities help to attack the "zone", which includes the Hit, when they release compositions with individually weak defenders.

Hirro has to wind up the effectiveness

Tyler is an attacking player, his effect was very noticeable in the first match. And in the fourth, Hirro didn't play, and the Hit attack was dead. If Tyler returns, he can at least try to start a Miami attack. But Hirro is a poor defender, so his presence improves the attack of both teams. If Tyler doesn't play again, they'll give Martin more minutes. There you can poke some personal statistics of Caleb, such as accurate 3 points or rebounds - something that is tied to game time to a certain extent.

Marcus Smart is the key to the Celtics' depth

In the fourth match, White ran well, but it is clear that White is usually a backup point guard, and without Smart he is at the core (which may not be such a problem), and it is not clear who should play with banks there (it is obvious that Pritchard, but it is afraid to give him big minutes). With Smart, everything is easier, the team is deeper, and so it will be easier for the greens to take spare minutes from Miami.

In general, we are waiting for the injury report, and we draw conclusions. Open / Comment

2022-05-25 18:41:29 Miami vs. Boston - what happens in the East Finals

There is a "breaking bad" series going on here, the teams exchange very powerful attacks, and each time it looks clear, logical and reasonable.

The first match, Boston does not have two people from the base, the team is less exchanged in defense, Miami has a good ball moving in attack. Boston itself lacks a Smart draw ahead, which misses the match. The Heat win the third quarter by 25 points.

The second match, Smart and Horford return, Boston is exchanged more, their defense blocks the movement from the Heat. Again, with the appearance of Marcus, the ball moves better in attack for the Celts. Boston wins the first half by 25 points.

The third match, Lauri returns from Miami, he gives an important two-way player who raises universalism in defense, but at the same time normally gets into the attack and drives the pace. Rob Williams does not play for Boston, it is impossible to block the "paint" without him, Adebayo gives a monster match for Miami. The Heat win the first quarter by 21 points, and bring the match to victory even after Jimmy Butler's departure.

The fourth match, Rob Williams returns, the Celtics close the sky near the ring, the Heat fall on jumpers, and when they try to pass, they climb into the crowd and lose the ball. No one got jumpers in this match, but the Celtics managed to pass, run away, get on the line and pick up in attack against the "zone", and Miami did not get anything but a small glimpse of the name Oladipo. Hit smear the first 14 shots from the game and fly off to minus 24 by the big break.

In such cases, when there are obvious permutations in terms of schemes, it always seems that the last match is more indicative. But here these permutations largely rest on health - if there is no Rob Williams in the fifth match (he limped to the bench in the middle of the third quarter of the last game), Tice will play there again, and the Celtics will not be able to repeat the fourth meeting.

Does anyone understand why Tatum scored 10 points in the 3rd game and 24 in 20 minutes in the 4th? What happens to Adebayo, who failed the first 2 matches, then rolled into Horford's parquet in the 3rd game, and in the 4th could not get around Al? Not all of this is explained by the presence of Rob Williams' safety net. Why did Miami start the 4th game with 14 misses? Not all shots were bad there, instead of 18-1 at the start, it could easily have been 18-11. What ever happened to Butler at the big break of the third match?

Open / Comment