2022-06-13 16:25:45
The threats made by Israeli Chief of Staff Kochavi, the turmoil it caused in Lebanon, and how all of this is connected to the new Israeli offshore gas rigThe remarks made by Israeli Chief of Staff Kochavi yesterday during the Israeli "Home Front Preparedness Conference", which described the nature of the planned IDF attack in Lebanon in the next conflict, were heard well throughout the Middle East.
This was particularly true for Lebanon. Rumors began circulating there on social media and WhatsApp groups, some talking about a three-hour Israeli ultimatum, others claiming that Israeli forces are making their way to the border.
Feelings of fear and apprehension in Lebanon forced Shiite-axis supporters to try and balance Kochavi's heavy remarks with tweets, posting famous quotes and threats from Nasrallah's past speeches, claiming that the next war will be a war of existence for Israel. They even went as far as to quote other Israeli officers who spoke at the same conference, talking about how heavy the Israel civilian toll will be in the next war in Lebanon.
Another interesting angle concerns the timing of Kochavi's remarks, at least in the eyes of Lebanese officials identified with the Shiite axis.
They believe that these Israeli threats are a part of the pressure that Israel is trying to exert before resuming negotiations with Lebanon on its shared maritime border, an ongoing despite which resurfaced with the arrival of the new Israeli offshore gas rig.
Alongside this, there are reports of a draft deal in the making regarding the maritime border dispute and the contested gas fields. According to which, in exchange for allowing Israel to continue commercial production in the "Karish" gas field, Israel will allow Lebanon to develop and produce gas from the "Kana" gas field (thought to have gas, yet these estimations remain unconfirmed). "Qana" gas field exceeds beyond point 23, which means it's partly in territory which Israel claims full ownership over.
Lastly, Lebanese President Michel Aoun responded today to the remarks made by the Israeli Chief of Staff: "We reject the Israeli enemy's threats that are inconsistent with international law and international decisions."
According to Aoun, Lebanon maintains its position of returning to indirect negotiations with Israel, adding that it rejects Israel's position on point number 1 as well as the American "Hof Line" (see attached map).
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